- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 8.0 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 27% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 77% probability