22.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 9.6 m/s) (ACCESS-C 20.4 m/s vs GFS27 10.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (LEW 8.7 m/s vs ECMWF 3.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 9.0 m/s vs ECMWF 2.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
