watching: 気象統計と風の歴史

10.2436° N, 123.775° E
21.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Low breeze chance — 27% probability
  • Light wind – experience required (4.9 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (2.9 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (3.1 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.8 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (2.8 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.7 m/s) (LEW 9.6 m/s vs ECMWF 4.0 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (9.4 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (2.4 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.2°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (LEW 10.9 m/s vs ECMWF 4.7 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (9.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (2.9 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.7°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (LEW 11.2 m/s vs ECMWF 5.7 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (9.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
  • Caution – short wave period (3.4 s)
  • High water temp – risk of overheating (30.3°C)
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