- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.8 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.4 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 9.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.3 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (29.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 80% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.3 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 4.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 73% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.3 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.1 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (4.7 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.6°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 87% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Caution – short wave period (3.9 s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (28.3°C)