- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.5 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (GFS27 16.5 m/s vs LEW 9.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Low breeze chance — 34% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 6.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 12.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability