- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 16.2 m/s vs LEW 11.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.6 m)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (ECMWF 8.4 m/s vs LEW 3.4 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 36% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)