Isla mocha: 気象統計と風の歴史

38.3727° S, 73.9087° W
21.08.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
22.08.2026 (Saturday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 8.7 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
23.08.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
  • Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.2°C)
24.08.2026 (Monday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (ECMWF 13.7 m/s vs LEW 7.5 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.1°C)
25.08.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.9 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (24.0 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 18.9 m/s vs LEW 12.6 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.3°C)
26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 14.1 m/s vs LEW 8.1 m/s)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
  • Strong wind – experience required (14.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.1 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (3.7 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.4°C)
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