- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 6.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 65% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.9 m/s, gusts 9.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 49% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 9.6 m/s vs ICON Global 4.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.0 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.0°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 8.6 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability