- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (ICON Global 8.9 m/s vs AROME 2.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.7 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 71% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 76% probability