- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.4 m/s) (AROME 16.1 m/s vs LEW 9.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.3 m/s, gusts 13.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 12.1 m/s vs GFS27 6.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 87% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 10.3 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 89% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.3 m/s)