Tasman Island: 気象統計と風の歴史

43.2389° S, 148.005° E
04.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.4 m/s, gusts 11.0 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.9 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
05.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.8 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.2 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (20.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (GFS27 18.2 m/s vs LEW 10.7 m/s)
  • Wave height – experience required (3.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (ECMWF 17.1 m/s vs ICON Global 10.3 m/s)
  • Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (5.0 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (18.1 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (21.8 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 18.1 m/s vs LEW 12.6 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (7.4 m)
  • Caution – too long wave period for beginners (15.3 s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.9 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 16.9 m/s vs ECMWF 10.8 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (19.7 m/s)
  • Dangerous wave height forecast (6.2 m)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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