Juan lacaze: 気象統計と風の歴史

34.4303° S, 57.4119° W
06.09.2026 (Sunday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 10.9 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (10.9 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 47% probability
07.09.2026 (Monday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.9 m/s, gusts 7.7 m/s, no major model differences
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.7 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
08.09.2026 (Tuesday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 7.6 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (7.6 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
  • High breeze chance — 86% probability
09.09.2026 (Wednesday)
  • Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
  • Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
10.09.2026 (Thursday)
  • Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
  • Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
  • Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
  • Low breeze chance — 41% probability
11.09.2026 (Friday)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.5 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
  • Rain detected – challenging conditions
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.7 m/s) (GFS27 17.5 m/s vs ECMWF 9.8 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
12.09.2026 (Saturday)
  • Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
  • Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (17.8 m/s)
  • High gust forecast (23.1 m/s)
  • Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.5 m/s) (GFS27 17.8 m/s vs ECMWF 9.3 m/s)
  • Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
  • Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
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