- Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 11.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.1°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (GFS27 14.8 m/s vs LEW 9.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 13.9 m/s, gusts 18.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.0°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 8.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.8 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 12.1 m/s) (GFS27 15.8 m/s vs ECMWF 3.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Wave height – experience required (2.0 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.2°C)