- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 12.3 m/s vs ECMWF 6.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.8 m/s) (GFS27 10.4 m/s vs ECMWF 4.5 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 12.2 m/s vs ECMWF 6.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 13.6 m/s vs ECMWF 8.0 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (13.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.5 m)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability