- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 10.1 m/s vs ICON Global 5.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.0 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 47% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 33% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.7 m/s) (ECMWF 9.1 m/s vs LEW 2.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability