- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.4 m/s vs LEW 5.1 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 38% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 7.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 11.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (11.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 56% probability