- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (16.7 m/s)
- High gust forecast (20.9 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 16.7 m/s vs LEW 9.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.7 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.3 m/s, gusts 15.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Low breeze chance — 40% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.5 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.2 m/s, gusts 12.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.2 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability