- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (GFS27 8.3 m/s vs LEW 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Dangerous wave height forecast (2.3 m)
- Caution – short wave period (7.5 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 25% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.6 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.2 s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.6 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.5 m/s, gusts 4.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.1 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.8 s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)