- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (AROME 10.3 m/s vs LEW 5.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 12.9 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (GFS27 9.9 m/s vs ICON Global 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Light wind – experience required (6.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)