- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- High water temperature (25.8°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 5.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 13% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.2°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.6 m/s, gusts 12.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (GFS27 10.3 m/s vs ICON Global 2.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.5 m/s)
- High water temperature (25.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 15.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)