- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs LEW 4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 14.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ICON Global 12.0 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability