- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 12.1 m/s vs LEW 6.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.8 m/s, gusts 15.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.5 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.7 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability