- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (GFS27 13.8 m/s vs ICON Global 8.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.9 m/s, gusts 17.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.8 m/s, gusts 17.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.6 m/s, gusts 15.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.3 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)