- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (AROME 11.0 m/s vs LEW 5.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.2 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.4 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 58% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)