- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)
- Wetsuit required (15.4°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs LEW 3.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (9.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.5°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.0 m/s, gusts 5.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 18% probability
- Light wind – experience required (4.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Caution – short wave period (6.3 s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (ECMWF 8.2 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.7°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.0 m/s) (ECMWF 8.2 m/s vs GFS27 3.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.9°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.0 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 8.4 m/s vs GFS27 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Wave height – experience required (1.4 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (14.4°C)