- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 12.2 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.2 m/s, gusts 16.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.1 m/s) (LEW 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 4.4 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 11.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)