- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (GFS27 9.5 m/s vs ICON Global 3.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
- Low breeze chance — 44% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 15.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.0 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.7 m/s, gusts 14.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.6°C)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.4°C)
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.1 m/s) (GFS27 11.5 m/s vs ECMWF 4.4 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (10.4°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability