- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (AROME 13.2 m/s vs LEW 7.8 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 13.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 8.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.4 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 90% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.2 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 88% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 62% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 72% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.1 m/s, gusts 15.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability