- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.1 m/s vs ICON EU 2.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 6.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 41% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.1 m/s, gusts 5.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.3 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 81% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 67% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (5.0 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 66% probability