- Good kite forecast: wind 8.4 m/s, gusts 10.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.2 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.5 m/s vs AROME 3.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.4 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 12.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.8 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.0 m/s) (GFS27 11.0 m/s vs ECMWF 4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.4 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.7 m/s)