- Wind too light – not suitable (3.3 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 7.4 m/s vs NAM 2.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.4 m/s, gusts 11.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.2 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 12.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.1 m/s)