- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (AROME 10.3 m/s vs LEW 4.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 23% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 6.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.6 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 50% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.5 m/s, gusts 8.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (2.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 63% probability
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 30% probability