- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.3 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.0 m/s, gusts 7.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.9 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 57% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.2 m/s, gusts 9.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 7% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 9.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 9.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 5.9 m/s, no major model differences
- High water temp – risk of overheating (30.1°C)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability