- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.2 m/s) (AROME 10.6 m/s vs LEW 5.5 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 59% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 9.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 37% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.9 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.4 m/s)
- High breeze chance — 84% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 4.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 53% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.0 m/s, gusts 6.3 m/s, no major model differences
- High breeze chance — 86% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 48% probability