- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 14.0 m/s vs LEW 8.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (14.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (17.3 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.8 m/s, gusts 18.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.2 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.8 m/s, gusts 16.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (11.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.0 m/s, gusts 13.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.1 m/s, gusts 9.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.0 m/s)