- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.5 m/s)
- High gust forecast (22.4 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.8 m/s) (GFS27 15.5 m/s vs LEW 8.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 11.2 m/s, gusts 19.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (11.2 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (19.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.4 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 45% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.6 m/s, gusts 7.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 15% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 28% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 16.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Wind too strong – unsafe conditions (15.1 m/s)
- High gust forecast (21.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 15.1 m/s vs LEW 9.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability