- Wind too light – not suitable (4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.8 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 10.9 m/s vs ICON Global 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 10% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 2.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.6 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.6 m/s, gusts 13.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 13.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)