- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.4 m/s vs AROME 7.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.3 m/s, gusts 12.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 55% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.2 m/s) (GFS27 12.3 m/s vs ECMWF 6.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 46% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.3 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.3 m/s)