26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 8.2 m/s) (HRRR 12.1 m/s vs LEW 4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.4 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.5 m/s) (HRRR 11.7 m/s vs LEW 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.3°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.4 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.6°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.4 m/s, gusts 12.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.4 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.6°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (ECMWF 11.0 m/s vs ICON Global 4.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.6 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.4°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.2°C)
