26.08.2026 (Wednesday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.8 m/s) (HRRR 11.7 m/s vs LEW 4.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)
27.08.2026 (Thursday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (GFS27 9.6 m/s vs LEW 4.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.4°C)
28.08.2026 (Friday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 11.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.9°C)
29.08.2026 (Saturday)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.8°C)
30.08.2026 (Sunday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 10.7 m/s vs LEW 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.2 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.3°C)
31.08.2026 (Monday)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.4 m/s) (ECMWF 10.8 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.3 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (11.7°C)
