- Good kite forecast: wind 9.5 m/s, gusts 14.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.1 m/s, gusts 18.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (18.5 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.5 m/s vs ICON EU 4.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.2 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.1 m/s)
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 10.6 m/s vs ECMWF 5.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (10.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.9 m/s)
- Rain detected – challenging conditions
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 13.1 m/s vs ICON Global 7.2 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (13.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.6 m/s)