- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.0 m/s) (HRRR 7.5 m/s vs LEW 1.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 16% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 3.3 m/s, gusts 3.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.8 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 52% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.3 m/s, gusts 4.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.3 m/s, gusts 4.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 39% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.3 m/s, gusts 4.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 4.9 m/s, gusts 5.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 21% probability