- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.5 m/s)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 7.2 m/s) (ECMWF 9.8 m/s vs ICON Global 2.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.2 m/s, gusts 6.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 11% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.0 m/s, gusts 6.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.0 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 26% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.7 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 51% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)