- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs ICON Global 6.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (15.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 12.1 m/s, gusts 16.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 1% probability
- Strong wind – experience required (12.1 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (16.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.7 m/s, gusts 11.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.9 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.3 m/s, gusts 9.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (9.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.8 m/s, gusts 11.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 22% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (11.5 m/s)