- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 11.6 m/s vs ICON Global 6.3 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (11.6 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.5 m/s, gusts 13.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.5 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (13.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 10.7 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.7 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 8.1 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (8.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 24% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 6.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 35% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 10.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.6 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 29% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 8.5 m/s, gusts 10.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (10.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability