- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.9 m/s) (GFS27 9.0 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 2% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.8 m/s, gusts 10.0 m/s, no major model differences
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.0 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.3 m/s, gusts 8.2 m/s, no major model differences
- Moderate breeze chance — 64% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.2 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.1 m/s, gusts 4.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 20% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.9 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 31% probability