- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.6 m/s) (GFS27 9.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.6 m/s, gusts 8.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 9% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (8.5 m/s)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 60% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.6 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.2 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 42% probability