- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 2.8 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 17% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.6°C)
- Too light wind – kite foiling only (4.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Wetsuit required (15.0°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.7 m/s, gusts 8.6 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.7 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.6 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.4 m/s) (ECMWF 8.4 m/s vs ICON Global 3.0 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.3 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.3°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.3 m/s, gusts 13.5 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.5 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.7°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.3 m/s) (GFS27 8.7 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 3% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (12.7 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.5°C)