- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.6 m/s) (HRRR 7.9 m/s vs ICON Global 2.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.1 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.5°C)
- Wind too light – not suitable (3.7 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 19% probability
- Wetsuit required (14.7°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 5.9 m/s, gusts 8.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 6% probability
- Light wind – experience required (5.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (8.8 m/s)
- Wetsuit required (14.4°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.2 m/s, gusts 10.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (10.8 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (13.9°C)
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.6 m/s, gusts 14.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Unlikely breeze — 8% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (14.3 m/s)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.8°C)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 5.5 m/s) (GFS27 8.9 m/s vs ICON Global 3.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 5% probability
- Significant gusts forecast (13.0 m/s)
- Wave height – experience required (2.1 m)
- Low water temp – risk of hypothermia (12.7°C)