- Wind too light – not suitable (3.1 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 12% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 6.5 m/s, gusts 7.8 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (7.8 m/s)
- Moderate breeze chance — 54% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 7.6 m/s, gusts 9.3 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (9.3 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 14% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 9.9 m/s, gusts 12.9 m/s, no major model differences
- Significant gusts forecast (12.9 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Good kite forecast: wind 10.9 m/s, gusts 14.4 m/s, no major model differences
- Strong wind – experience required (10.9 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (14.4 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 4% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Significant gusts forecast (11.1 m/s)
- Low breeze chance — 32% probability
- Heavy rain – dangerous conditions possible (>2)
- Models wind forecasts diverge significantly (> 6.1 m/s) (GFS27 12.0 m/s vs ECMWF 5.9 m/s)
- Strong wind – experience required (12.0 m/s)
- Significant gusts forecast (12.5 m/s)
- Unlikely breeze — 0% probability